基于隐含碳排放的碳减排目标研究Determination of Each Province's Carbon Dioxide Reduction Target Based on Embodied Carbon Dioxide Emissions
张增凯,郭菊娥,安尼瓦尔·阿木提
摘要(Abstract):
中国政府以2005年为基年提出了碳减排指标,确定各省碳减排基数对于明确各省碳减排责任具有重要意义。本文结合"十一五"期间节能指标分解过程中存在的问题,分析了省际贸易中隐含的碳排放对于确定各省碳减排基数的影响,并分别基于生产者负责原则和消费者负责原则计算了"十二五"期间各省碳减排基数。计算结果表明:①将工业部门拆分为23个部门能够更加充分反映省际贸易结构差异对于隐含碳排放计算的影响;②省际贸易中隐含碳排放不仅在各省间有较大差异而且呈现出从中西部地区调往东部地区的整体转移方向;③不同原则下各省碳减排基数计算结果存在较大差异,消费者负责原则更加真实地反映了各地区实际减排责任,避免了部分省份通过省际调进代替本省生产的方式实现碳减排目标。
关键词(KeyWords): 隐含碳排放;碳减排基数;消费者负责原则;生产者负责原则
基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金项目(编号:70773091);; 新疆科技厅重点项目“新疆能源发展战略研究——基于投入产出分析方法”
作者(Author): 张增凯,郭菊娥,安尼瓦尔·阿木提
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