贸易自由化、经济增长对碳排放的影响Impacts of Trade Liberalization and Economic Growth on Carbon Emissions:An Empirical Study Based on Scale,Composition and Technique Effects
吴献金,邓杰
摘要(Abstract):
随着中国经济的快速发展和出口贸易的持续扩张,中国碳排放量不断增加已超过美国居世界第一位,有关贸易自由化、经济增长与环境问题的研究亦方兴未艾。本文运用1995年-2007年期间我国省际面板数据,从规模、结构和技术三个角度,就贸易自由化、经济增长对碳排放的影响进行了实证研究。研究表明:代表规模技术效应的人均收入和碳排放量之间存在显著的正相关关系,我国存在碳排放量的环境库兹涅茨曲线;代表结构效应的资本劳动比和碳排放量存在显著的负相关关系;贸易所产生的结构效应是消极的,这为"污染避难所假说"提供了来自中国的证据;贸易自由化的总效应使得我国碳排放量增加。此外,本文还结合实证分析的结果,提出了在促进经济持续发展的同时控制和降低碳排放量的政策建议。
关键词(KeyWords): 碳排放;贸易自由化;经济增长
基金项目(Foundation):
作者(Author): 吴献金,邓杰
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